The Mismeasure of ModelsThe failure to understand the limitations of mathematical models breeds an entire industry of apocalyptic thinkingJan 5, 2023A response icon2Jan 5, 2023A response icon2
An AI-capabilities bet with JY KohWill a paper written by a language model be accepted to an A-tier conference or journal?Dec 26, 2022Dec 26, 2022
The case for replacing peer-review with preprints and overlay journalsPre-publication peer-review sucks — embrace the preprint revolution!Jul 6, 2022Jul 6, 2022
Published inTDS ArchiveThe False Philosophy Plaguing AIErik J. Larson and The Myth of Artificial IntelligenceJun 9, 2021A response icon4Jun 9, 2021A response icon4
Published inConjecture MagazineToday’s False ProphetsHow the new “science” of divining humanity’s future revives an ancient fallacy.Jan 4, 2021A response icon5Jan 4, 2021A response icon5
Published inEffective GivingWhen unprecedented times meet unprecedented opportunitiesDespite this year’s setbacks, we are at an unprecedented time in history: we can do something about the abundance of suffering around us.Dec 31, 2020Dec 31, 2020
Published inConjecture MagazinePascal’s Mugging and Bad ExplanationsWhy Bayesian Philosophy is false.Dec 18, 2020A response icon2Dec 18, 2020A response icon2
Published inCuriousAgainst Strong Longtermism: A Response to Greaves and MacAskillAn argument against the new moral philosophy of longtermism, whereby only the long-run effects of our actions have moral significance.Dec 18, 2020A response icon2Dec 18, 2020A response icon2