The Mismeasure of ModelsThe failure to understand the limitations of mathematical models breeds an entire industry of apocalyptic thinkingJan 5, 20232Jan 5, 20232
An AI-capabilities bet with JY KohWill a paper written by a language model be accepted to an A-tier conference or journal?Dec 26, 2022Dec 26, 2022
The case for replacing peer-review with preprints and overlay journalsPre-publication peer-review sucks — embrace the preprint revolution!Jul 6, 2022Jul 6, 2022
Published inTowards Data ScienceThe False Philosophy Plaguing AIErik J. Larson and The Myth of Artificial IntelligenceJun 9, 20214Jun 9, 20214
Published inConjecture MagazineToday’s False ProphetsHow the new “science” of divining humanity’s future revives an ancient fallacy.Jan 4, 20215Jan 4, 20215
Published inEffective GivingWhen unprecedented times meet unprecedented opportunitiesDespite this year’s setbacks, we are at an unprecedented time in history: we can do something about the abundance of suffering around us.Dec 31, 2020Dec 31, 2020
Published inConjecture MagazinePascal’s Mugging and Bad ExplanationsWhy Bayesian Philosophy is false.Dec 18, 20202Dec 18, 20202
Published inCuriousAgainst Strong Longtermism: A Response to Greaves and MacAskillAn argument against the new moral philosophy of longtermism, whereby only the long-run effects of our actions have moral significance.Dec 18, 20202Dec 18, 20202